How China, Japan and South Korea can make their carbon neutral goals a reality – and drive change worldwide | Duke Kunshan University

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How China, Japan and South Korea can make their carbon neutral goals a reality – and drive change worldwide

11-29-2020


A man standing at a viewing area of Jingshan Park takes photos of the Forbidden City as a thick haze engulfs Beijing on December 9, 2019. China is hoping to establish itself as the new global leader in the fight against climate change, following the United States’ withdrawal from the Paris Agreement signed in 2015. Photo: EPA-EFE

The East Asian powers are moving on climate change. In recent months, South Korea has launched a Green New Deal and committed to net-zero greenhouse gas emissions by 2050. Japan has also pledged net-zero emissions by 2050. In September, Chinese President Xi Jinping surprised the United Nations General Assembly by committing to achieving carbon neutrality before 2060.

With these countries responsible for one-third of global emissions, East Asia’s growing ambition is the biggest international climate change development since the Paris Agreement was ratified.

Emissions trading systems (ETS) with progressively tightening emissions caps are likely to play a central role in achieving net-zero goals. They can guarantee achieving targets, enable cost-effective compliance, safeguard industrial competitiveness and provide funds to invest in advanced greenhouse gas mitigation technology.

In East Asia, South Korea is the front runner. The K-ETS covers 70 per cent of the country’s greenhouse gas emissions, has been in operation for nearly six years and is aligned with the country’s 2030 emission reduction target. However, following the announcement of the net-zero greenhouse emissions target by 2050, the 2030 target (and ETS cap) should be tightened.

A driver for South Korea and other major exporting countries to tighten ETS caps is the prospect of trade policies that ensure the price of imports reflects their carbon content, such as the proposed European Union carbon border adjustment mechanism.

 

The mechanism will impose extra costs on exports to the EU except for jurisdictions with similar policies and ambition to the EU under the Paris Agreement. This will also drive higher levels of auctioning of emission allowances, where allowances are purchased rather than given freely.

A current critical challenge across Asia is the ability to effectively add carbon costs onto electricity prices. South Korea is set to make progress on this front through developing a more environmentally-sound dispatch system for power stations.